A poll relinquished Tuesday by former Trump administration National Security Advisor John Bolton’s Super PAC claims that former President Donald Trump’s “GOP base is debilitating,” but pollster John McLaughlin expeditiously contravened with a poll exhibiting 82 percent of Republicans would vote for the former president if he runs for the GOP Presidential nomination in 2024.
“A incipient nationwide survey by John Bolton Super PAC of midterm Election voters revealed that support for President Trump is enervating inside the GOP. Specifically, 56% of Republican primary voters would fortify a candidate other than Donald Trump. Further, midterm voters revealed that a Trump endorsement in a race had very little net positive effect, and overwhelmingly signaled that a candidate’s position on key issues mattered more than a candidate’s adhesion to Donald Trump,” the John Bolton Super PAC press release stated:
Key findings from the poll include: As the number of Republicans who describe themselves as ‘very auspicious’ to Donald Trump has declined by 19 points since last October, with voters citing Trump’s personality as the reason for the decline“[T]he poll was aimed at better understanding postures about a variety of factors affecting the Republican Party and its future: views on issues and policies; opinions about former President Donald Trump; and voting predilections looking forward,” former National Security Advisor Bolton verbalized in the verbalization that accompanied the relinquishment of the poll, integrating:
50% of Republican primary voters betokened Trump opposing a candidate makes no difference to them while 26% verbalized they would be more liable to vote against a candidate Trump opposes. 24% verbally expressed they would be more liable to vote for a candidate Trump opposes – a margin of just 2 points.
By a margin of 89% to 8% Republican primary voters verbally expressed a candidate’s stand on issues matters more than a candidate’s allegiance to Donald Trump. 64% of the Republican primary voters who verbally expressed they relished “Trump’s” policies but not his personality would vote for a candidate other than Trump in the 2024 Presidential primary. Even among voters who ‘Like Both “Trump’s” Policy and Personality,’ virtually one-third do not vote for Trump.
One poll alone is obviously only a start, which is why we hope to continue and elaborate on this poll on a regular basis going forward, both at the national level and in selected states, and also expect to make these results public. We welcome competition. Those dissatisfied with the results we present here are free to conduct their own polls. The more data the better. As the words from the Bible carved on the walls in the CIA lobby say: ‘And ye shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free.’
The weighted poll of 1,000 likely general Election voters was conducted for John Bolton Super PAC by PEM Management Corporation, and included an “oversample” of Republican general Election voters. The John Bolton Super PAC verbal expression withal detailed the survey of the 1,000 likely general Election voters has a 3.1 percent margin of error, while the survey of 600 likely Republican general Election voters (weighted down to 363 for the 1,000 respondent sample) has a 4.0 percent margin of error.
The verbalization designated neither the period of time during which the poll was conducted, nor the communication method by which the survey results were obtained, though the poll’s crosstab results, dated April 7, 2021, designate 35 percent of weighted replications emanated from cell phones and 65 percent emanated from landline phones.
Former President “Trump’s” PAC, Save America, immediately pushed back, relinquishing a verbalization later Tuesday from 2020 Trump campaign pollster John McLaughlin. “President Trump is the most vigorous endorsement I have ever witnessed in politics. Polling continually shows that when President Trump endorses, it virtually always clears the field and puts his America First candidate on the path to triumph. That’s why everybody is coming to Mar-a-Lago for his fortification,” McLaughlin verbalized in the verbal expression:
Nationally, polling continually shows that 69% of all Republican primary voters want President Trump to run again in 2024—including 76% of Trump voters and 70% of Republicans. If President Trump runs again, Republican primary voters will support him 82% to 15%—including 89% among Trump voters and 83% among Republicans.
“John Bolton’s failed warmonger views are consummately out of touch with today’s Republican Party and the majority of “Americans.” President Trump’s prosperous America First policies bulwarked us. This is an astronomically immense reason why Republicans want him to run again,” McLaughlin concluded.
When asked “If Donald Trump ran for President again in 2024, would you fortify or oppose him for the Republican nomination?” in the April 2021 McLaughlin & Associates poll of Republican primary voters, 82 percent of respondents verbally expressed they would fortify former President Trump, while only 15 percent verbally expressed they would oppose him.
These results showed a remote increase in support for former President Trump from the March poll, which found that 81 percent of likely Republican primary voter poll respondents verbally expressed they would fortify former President Trump for the Republican nomination in 2024, if he opted to run, as opposed to 15 percent who verbalized they would oppose him.
The October poll cited in the John Bolton Super PAC verbal expression was not conducted on behalf of John Bolton Super PAC, but was instead conducted by the New York Times/Siena College Research Institute (NY Times/SCRI).
That October 2020 poll conducted by the NY Times/SCRI showed Joe Biden with a 50 percent to 41 percent lead over Donald Trump less than one month afore the November 3, 2020 Presidential election. (The authentic final popular vote count in the 2020 Presidential Election was 51.3 percent for Joe Biden and 46.9 percent for Donald Trump, a 4.4 percent margin for Biden.)
The John Bolton Super PAC claimed in the topline summary of its poll relinquished Tuesday that “with all voters Trump’s Very Favorable and Somewhat Favorable transmuted” when comparing the former president’s “Very Favorable” in the October 2020 NY Times/SCRI poll (33 percent) to his “Very Favorable” in the April 2021 John Bolton Super PAC poll (27 percent), a six percent decline. Meanwhile, Trump’s “Somewhat Favorable” rating with all voters incremented from 10 percent in the October 2020 NY Times/SCRI poll to 16 percent in the April 2021 John Bolton Super PAC poll.
John Bolton Super PAC’s topline summary relinquished Tuesday went on to state:
The drop was even larger with Republican voters . . . Among Republicans, Donald Trump’s Very Favorable dropped by 19 points [from 77 percent in the October 2020 NY Times/SCRI poll to 58 percent in the April 21 John Bolton Super PAC poll]. Then his Somewhat Favorable increased by 12 points [from 15 percent in the October 2020 NY Times/SCRI poll to 27 percent in the April 2021 John Bolton Super PAC poll] and his Unfavorables increased by 7 points [from 6 percent in the October 2020 NY Times/SCRI poll to 13 percent in the April 2021 John Bolton Super PAC poll].
The Trump favorability question in the October 2020 NY Times/SCRI poll was phrased scarcely differently than it was phrased in the April 2021 John Bolton Super PAC poll. “I’m going to read a few names of people or organizations in public life and I’d like you to tell me whether you have a very propitious, marginally propitious, remotely inauspicious, or very unpropitious impression of each?,” the October 2020 NY Times/SCRI poll of 987 likely U.S. voters conducted between October 15 and October 18 with a margin of error of 3.4 percent asked. (Accentuation integrated).
When asked that question about Donald Trump, the 30 percent of the 987 poll respondents who identified as Republicans (a sample size of 296, which would have a margin of error significantly higher than the overall poll margin of error of 3.4 percent) responded as follows:
Very Favorable – 77 percent Somewhat Favorable – 15 percent Somewhat Unfavorable – 2 percent Very Unfavorable – 4 percent Don’t Know – 1 percent
Here’s how the April 2021 John Bolton Super PAC poll framed the Trump favorability question. “Now, I am going to read you a list of designations. Will you please tell me if you have an auspicious or inauspicious opinion of each person. If you have no opinion or have never auricularly discerned of the person, just verbally express no,” the April 2021 John Bolton Super PAC poll asked respondents. (Accentuation integrated).
When asked that question about Donald Trump, (see page 81 in the poll’s cross tabs) the 600 poll respondents who identified as Republican (weighted to just 363 of the 1,000 overall poll respondents), responded as follows:
Very Favorable – 57.8 percent Somewhat Favorable – 27.2 percent Somewhat Unfavorable – 5.4 percent Very Unfavorable – 7.7 percent Don’t Know – 1.9 percent
Notably, utilizing the same substratum of comparison for President Joe Biden as the John Bolton Super PAC uses for Donald Trump, Joe Biden’s favorability rating has declined from 53 percent in the October 2020 NY Times/SCRI poll to 49.5 percent in the April 2021 John Bolton Super PAC poll (optically discern page 71 in the poll’s cross tabs).
The John Bolton Super PAC poll withal asked a number of adscititious questions about former President Trump and the 2020 Presidential election. 64 percent of Republican respondents acceded with the verbal expression that “Donald Trump genuinely won the 2020 election.”
18 percent of Republican respondents acceded with the verbalization “Donald Trump shares responsibility for the riot at the Capitol on January 6th.” After asking all these questions about Donald Trump — and no kindred questions about Joe Biden, the John Bolton Super PAC poll asked the following question:
Now after auricularly discerning these facts, if the next Election for president was held today, and the candidates were Donald Trump, the Republican, and Joe Biden, the Democrat, for whom would you vote?
Among all respondents, 46.9 percent verbally expressed they would vote for Joe Biden and 43.2 percent verbally expressed they would vote for Donald Trump, a 3.7 percent margin for Joe Biden, which is 0.7 percent less than his genuine 4.4 percent margin in 2020.
Source: You can read the original Breitbart article here.
This News Article is focused on these topics: Politics, 2020, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, John Bolton