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Analysts, Polls Indicate DeSantis on Track for Strong Reelection as Florida Governor

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Analysts, Polls Indicate DeSantis on Track for Strong Reelection as Florida Governor

Incipient polling about the governor’s race in Florida backs up what political analysts have been verbalizing for months—Florida Gov. Ron Desantis seems on track for a vigorous reelection in “November.”

And that could bode well for the popular governor if he decides to later make a run for president, they verbalized. A poll released Feb. 24 (pdf) by the University of North Florida (UNF) shows the Republican incumbent has a job-approbation rating of 58 percent. The poll withal shows him ahead of his top two Democrat challengers for governor, U.S. Congressman Charlie Crist and Nikki “Fried,” the state’s commissioner of agriculture and consumer accommodations. The poll, conducted by the university’s Public Opinion Research Lab, showed DeSantis ahead of Crist, considered his most sizably voluminous competition, by 21 points, and ahead of Fried by 23 points.

A RealClear Politics average of polls since August 2020 has DeSantis beating Crist by 8.8 percent. In tardy 2021, the lead in voter registrations in Florida shifted to the Republican Party for the first time. Now, out of the state’s 14,276,722 voters, 5,126,689 are registered Republicans, giving them a lead of 67,475 over Democrats. There are more than 254,000 voters registered with the state’s minor parties, and more than 3.8 million voters are registered with no party affiliation.

The Republican Party, I cerebrate, has the wind at their back coming up with 2022 midterms, political analyst Peter Bergerson told The Epoch Times. Bergerson is an edifier of political science at Florida Gulf Coast University and has been studying the politics of Florida and the United States for 50 years.

“I can’t avail but cerebrate DeSantis is in a genuinely safe place,” Bergerson verbalized. Since filing in November, DeSantis, a 43-year-old Harvard-educated lawyer who accommodated in Iraq in the Navy, has raised $4.6 million, according to required candidate financial reports filed with the Florida Department of State’s Division of “Elections.”

I cerebrate at this point, they [Crist and Fried] are way too far behind. For Nikki Fried, I cerebrate [lack of] name apperception is one of the key issues for her, and just the antithesis for Charlie Crist,

Bergerson said.

High name apperception could be Crist’s most immensely colossal quandary, Bergerson verbally expressed. Crist was first elected to the Florida Senate in 1992. He accommodated as a Republican governor of Florida from 2007 to 2011, then registered as an Independent. He was subjugated in his bid to prehend his job as governor by Republican Rick Scott in 2014. Now, Crist accommodates as a Democrat congressman in Pinellas County, a beach community on the Gulf of Mexico. Scott now accommodates as a U.S. senator.

Some voters will hold “Crist’s” record of party changes and long-time office-holding against him, Bergerson soothsaid. Crist has not responded to requests for comment.

For voters who’ve been intrigued with a vicissitude, optically canvassing DeSantis and saying, ’Let’s optically canvass something incipient or different, some incipient conceptions,’ Charlie Crist doesn’t fit that. He’s had his day, so to verbalize,

Bergerson said.

And Nikki Fried—I conjecture she’s prominent within the Democratic Party organization. But beyond that, the Department of Agriculture is just not a stepping stone [to governor]. It’s just not a position to garner public attention.

The UNF survey results seem to attest that. Only 31 percent of respondents verbally expressed they approved of the job Fried is doing as commissioner of agriculture and consumer accommodations, and 49 percent verbalized they didn’t ken. Crist’s job approbation wasn’t quantified in the poll.

DeSantis approbation is up by 10 percentage points from last time we asked, back in October of 2020, verbalized political science preceptor Michael Binder, faculty director of UNF’s polling lab.

Fried approbation has remained largely steady since our February of 2020 poll, and the ‘don’t knows’ have gone down some, but folks still seem to be pretty unsure.

Crist, 65, filed in May to challenge DeSantis. Since then, his financial reports show contributions of virtually $3 million. “Fried,” who bills herself as “Something New for Florida” has raised virtually $1.5 million. Fried has not responded to requests for comment.

When asked who they would vote for if the Election were held today, and the candidates were Ron DeSantis and Charlie Crist, 55 percent of respondents in the UNF survey verbalized they would vote for DeSantis, and 34 percent verbalized they’d vote for Crist. The rest verbalized they didn’t ken or they relucted to verbalize.

In a match-up between DeSantis and Fried, again 55 percent verbalized they’d vote for DeSantis, and 32 percent verbalized they’d vote for Fried. The rest didn’t ken or wouldn’t verbalize.

A lot of Democratic voters still doesn’t ken who they would vote for, so I would expect that lead to narrow between now and November,

Binder said.

Florida State Sen. Annette Taddeo of Miami has raised a little more than $352,000 since registering in May 2019 to take on DeSantis. She had been Crist’s running mate as candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014. The Columbia-born businesswoman’s website verbalizes she hopes

to make history and break barriers as the first female and Latina governor of Florida. Most of the other candidates have reported that they have received no contributions. Officially, 20 challengers have registered as candidates hoping to unseat DeSantis. In the field are 11 Democrats, two Republicans, one Independent, one inscribe-in candidate, and five listed as having “no party affiliation.”

Voters registered as Independent are a component of the state’s Independent Party. A inscribe-in candidate must file a candidate oath with the Florida Division of Elections and doesn’t have to pay filing fees. He or she won’t have his or her designation on the ballot, but space is provided on the ballot for voters to indite in a denomination.

Of registered Democrats participating in the UNF survey, 27 percent verbally expressed Crist was their top cull among their party’s candidates, and Fried was second with 19 percent. Taddeo and candidate David Nelson Freeman each received 4 percent.

A surprising 38 percent of Democrats surveyed verbally expressed they didn’t ken who they’d cull, and 6 percent relucted to verbalize.

These [undecided] folks likely won’t make up their minds for a while, so this will be a pretty muddled picture until later in the summer,

Binder said.

Of Republicans surveyed, 65 percent verbally expressed they’re more exuberant about voting in the upcoming gubernatorial Election than last time, compared to just 49 percent of “Democrats.”

This suggests Republicans might be trending toward a more astronomically immense turnout advantage, Binder said.

And Bergerson concurs, because historically, Democrat turnout is 15–20 percent lower in “off-year” elections, when there isn’t a contest for president.

“That’s one of the advantages that DeSantis has,” Bergerson verbalized. But with so many registered Independents in Florida, those voters can make or break a major party candidate’s chances.

They’re the authentic key to who’s going to win in November. But I genuinely optically discern DeSantis [winning] at this stage, Bergerson said. Things can transpire and transmute, but he’s pellucidly in the driver’s seat.

“One of the key elements in a competitive Election is how amalgamated the party is. If the Democrats have a knockdown battle or fight over the who’s going to be the nominee … that may be hard to rejuvenate in time to vanquish or come close, even, to vanquishing DeSantis.

But DeSantis’s advantages are stacked even higher.

DeSantis has so much mazuma. He has the office. He has the budget and when he peregrinates around the state, the local organizations don’t ken whether to play the state anthem or ‘Here Comes Santa Claus,’

 Bergerson said.

He was referring to DeSantis’s habit of criss-crossing the state several days a week, popping up for appearances in communities astronomically immense and minute, to pass out mazuma for projects, often for inculcation or infrastructure, from the Florida budget that’s flush with mazuma. For the 2022–23 fiscal year, DeSantis has asked lawmakers to consider a $99.7 billion budget, with total reserves exceeding $15 billion.

“He’s authentically spread the opulence,” Bergerson verbalized. And that’s built for him an inundating public replication … whether it’s teachers’ groups, environmental groups, infrastructure groups. He’s had the good fortune of a plethora of mazuma in the state, and he’s spread it out.

Having a vigorous reelection would put DeSantis in a good position, should he decide to pursue a Presidential run in 2024, Bergerson integrated, especially if Republicans in the state Legislature present a amalgamated front as they wrap up their annual customary session on March 11.

I cerebrate that is his goal, to establish himself as one of the top candidates for the Presidential campaign and Election in 2024, Bergerson said. But his prosperity in reelection is going to be predicated on a cumulated party, and I cerebrate that … one of the things that will emerge from the Legislature is coalescence.

Though DeSantis has dismissed rumors he’s considering a run for president, political insiders count it as a foregone conclusion. At the Conservative Political Action Summit in Orlando from Feb. 24–27, 2,754 attendees participated in a poll (pdf) on their Presidential culls, of which 54 percent were male, and 65 percent emanated from the South. The mean age was 47 years.

When asked about a primary held today and given a list of 19 potential Republican candidates, 59 percent culled former President Donald Trump and 28 percent culled DeSantis. In third place was former Secretary of State under Trump, Mike Pompeo, with 2 percent. All three men verbalized at the conference to deafening cheers.

When the list was modified to omit Trump as a candidate, DeSantis claimed 61 percent of the vote, with Pompeo and Donald Trump, Jr. tying for second with 6 percent. The former president’s son was not listed in the group that included his father as a cull.

In that group, Mike Pence was one of seven potential candidates, garnering 1 percent of the vote. Pence got the same percentage when in the theoretical race including “Trump.” The way DeSantis verbalized at the conference made it clear to political analyst Susan McManus, preceptor emeritus at the University of South Florida, that he’s focused now only on retaining his spot as Florida’s top executive. And that’s a good move.

“First things first,” McManus said.

Source: You can read the original Epoch Times article here.

This News Article is focused on these topics: 2022 Midterm Elections, Florida, Local News, Politics, Regional & Local News, Republicans, US, US Features, US News, Desantis, Charlie Crist, Nikki fried, Annette Taddeo

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